Thanks to Bernanke's efforts to push down interest rates by flooding the world with dollars, companies have gotten the not-so-brilliant idea to borrow money to fund their pension plans, hoping returns will exceed their borrowing costs.
Please consider UPS Fights ‘Fire With Fire’ to Fill Pension Gap
Companies facing the biggest pension deficit since at least 1994 are selling bonds at the fastest pace in more than seven years to plug the hole, betting that future returns will exceed their borrowing costs.Poor Advice
United Parcel Service Inc., the world’s largest package- delivery business, Dow Chemical Co., Northrop Grumman Corp. and PPG Industries Inc. sold at least $5.25 billion of investment- grade U.S. corporate bonds in November to fund their pensions, making it the busiest month since June 2003, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
The Federal Reserve’s effort to hold down interest rates to stimulate the economy has caused corporate pension obligations, which are pegged to bond yields, to rise by $105.8 billion this year to $1.44 trillion as of October, according to Milliman Inc. Now, companies are taking advantage of borrowing costs at about the lowest on record as Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says interest rates will rise as the global economy recovers.
“They’re fighting fire with fire,” John Lonski, chief economist at Moody’s Capital Markets Group in New York, said in a telephone interview. “They’re being victimized by low bond yields, so why not go ahead and use them as an offset?”
Few, if any, borrowers have had their credit ratings cut for issuing debt to fund pension obligations, Lonski said.
Yields may not move substantially higher over the next several years, he said. “They’re willing to make a gamble that future returns will exceed the current cost of debt,” he said.
“If you truly believe that rates are going up, you should be issuing debt,” said Gordon Latter, a managing director at RBC Global Asset Management in Minneapolis. Latter said his firm is proposing that clients issue bonds to help fill pension deficits.
You do not borrow money to invest just because rates are going up. There's a set of not so insignificant factors including expected rate of return as well as risk management that should come into play.
After this massive rally in equities, commodities, and bonds, cheerleaders think speculating in the markets is a good idea. It could work out, but it's extremely foolish.
Equity prices in the US are priced for perfection if not far beyond perfection, China is tightening, a slowdown in Europe is inevitable, and commodities have been on fire but will likely come under stress because of China and Europe.
Moreover, state cutbacks are coming, and as many as 2 million people will lose all source of income unless Congress approved a benefits extension in the lame-duck session.
I can hardly conceive of a worse backdrop in which to go into debt for the sole purpose of betting on the market, yet that is the advice given. Just what are those companies supposed to do with the cash they raise from bond sales?
I suspect nearly all of it will go into long-this-long-that strategies. If correct, I smell a disaster for the borrowers.
But hey, Wall Street will win twice, first on underwriting the bond deals, then on fees to manage the investments. It's a sweeeet deal, for someone, namely those handing out poor advice.
Video Reveals Gimmicks Used by CalPERS to Hide The Decline in Assets
Inquiring minds are reading California State Pension System Makes Madoff Proud by Gwilym McGrew
Much has been written about The California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) being underfunded by $500 billion due to massive investment losses over the last decade, but now we have video of a CalPERS Senior Pension Actuary, Kung-pei Hwang, describing how they intend to change basic assumptions in their financial model to (please allow me to mix my metaphors) Hide The Decline in their assets held for municipal, county, and state employee’s retirement.The video in the above link is somewhat hard to understand. However, Gwilym McGrew details exactly what CalPERS is attempting to get away with via various "smoothing" and "re-smoothing" extend-and-pretend operations that are doomed to fail.
Through this statistical gimmickry, CalPERS can push the loss into later years and appear solvent today. Of course, at some point in the future it will need to raise funds from state and local governments to compensate for these losses. But for now, they seem content to hide the disastrous condition of their fund.
As you can hear Mr. Hwang say in his presentation to the Huntington Park City Council last week, “that means we will defer most of the loss to future years.” “This means the city will realize another increase in future years. I hate to bring bad news, but those are the facts.” Well, the fact is this bad news will hit budgets for all cities, counties and the state of California and not just Huntington Park. By playing with its financial model in this way, CalPERS is treating all California taxpayers like Madoff investors by cooking its actuarial books to Hide The Decline in its assets.
Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
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Raising funds for a small business can be a daunting task for any fledgeling entrepreneur. Whether it be from friends and family or from the general public, finding investors, setting terms of the funding, assigning equity and filing compliance documents is a challenge. Enter ProFounder, a stealth startup that launches today to ensure that all entrepreneurs and small businesses have access to an easy and simple fundraising platform.
ProFounder, which has been in private beta for the past year, offers entrepreneurs two ways to raise money on the site: through a private fundraising round, and/or a public fundraising round. The private fundraising rounds allow entrepreneurs to share a percentage of their revenues with investors (their friends, family, and community) over time. Essentially, this type of fundraising round is an offering of securities, and ProFounder helps facilitate compliance with state and federal laws related to this offering.
Public fundraising rounds allow entrepreneurs to share a percentage of revenues with both investors (anyone can participate – friends, family, community, and general public too) as well as a nonprofit organization. For both public and private fundraising rounds, ProFounder has a limit of $1 million raised.
Entrepreneurs can apply to Profounder, upload a pitch to offer to potential investors and then create a term sheet with Profounder’s templated forms and compliance sheets. As stated above, the term sheets are based on a revenue-share model. ProFounder then gives businesses a page where they can invite friends, family, and investors to a destination page that allows users to make contributions and investments directly on the site.
The bonus of using ProFounder is that the platform allows unaccredited investors (i.e. friends and family as opposed to a venture firm) to participate, so anyone can be an investor. And entrepreneurs can set their own investment terms and ProFounder facilitates all of the compliance, including tracking the number of investor seats in each state where each of their investors live, making sure entrepreneurs know which compliance documents they need to file, making sure entrepreneurs know which filing fees to pay, etc.
ProFounder, which was is the brainchild of Kiva co-founder Jessica Jackley and fellow Stanford Business School alum Dana Mauriello, also manages payouts and will pull funds from the entrepreneur’s bank account every quarter to pay investors their share of the business’ revenues.
ProFounder makes money by charging a 5 percent fee (of a public raise) and/or a flat $1,000 fee for any private raises.
If a company pays out investors before the terms of the deal end, then founders can choose to donate the rest of the revenues to a non profit organization. For example, if you offer two percent of your revenues to investors over the next five years and within two years, everyone has been fully paid, then the next three years of two percent of your revenues will go to the nonprofit.
To date, ProFounder has facilitated 5 successful private fundraising rounds, raising a total of $155,000 and engaging a total of 108 investors. For example, Bronson Chang, a recent USC alumni moved back to his native Hawaii to help out with the family business—a candy shop in Honolulu. Bronson wanted to open another shop in the area and raised $54,000 from 19 community members including friends, family, and USC classmates. Bronson is also currently raising an additional $60,000 through a public investing round.
Another private beta tester, BucketFeet, is a start-up from two recent college grads that makes hand-painted sneakers. The fledgling entrepreneurs managed to raise $60,000 from 37 investors including friends, family, and classmates across the country.
ProFounder’s model is similar in some ways to Kiva’s microlending, which recently opened up its platform to American entrepreneurs. Other companies playing in the space include Kickstarter, and Prosper.
But Jackley and Mauriello say that with the 27 million new and existing small businesses in the U.S., there are plenty of opportunities to offer fundraising and investment platforms to this demographic. Eventually, ProFounder will include social networking integration and possibly a convertible debt option for term sheets, say Jackley and Mauriello. In the end, Mauriello says, it’s about making sure that small business entrepreneurs have access to much-needed resources in terms of raising money.
eric seiger do
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CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
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CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
In a dramatic facelift, CBS News is replacing the entire weekday anchor team of "The Early Show" with their weekend counterparts.
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CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
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CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
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CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
In a dramatic facelift, CBS News is replacing the entire weekday anchor team of "The Early Show" with their weekend counterparts.
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The new Us Weekly reports on their sudden five-week romance - and how Swift is already "love-struck"
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A couple of notes from the Yankees today: Alfredo Aceves had surgery on Tuesday, Nov. 30, at NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital to repair a fractured left clavicle sustained in a bicycle-riding accident in Mexico. Surgery was performed by ...
CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
In a dramatic facelift, CBS News is replacing the entire weekday anchor team of "The Early Show" with their weekend counterparts.
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The new Us Weekly reports on their sudden five-week romance - and how Swift is already "love-struck"
Surgery for Gardner, Aceves - NY Daily <b>News</b>
A couple of notes from the Yankees today: Alfredo Aceves had surgery on Tuesday, Nov. 30, at NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital to repair a fractured left clavicle sustained in a bicycle-riding accident in Mexico. Surgery was performed by ...
CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
In a dramatic facelift, CBS News is replacing the entire weekday anchor team of "The Early Show" with their weekend counterparts.
eric seiger do
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The new Us Weekly reports on their sudden five-week romance - and how Swift is already "love-struck"
Surgery for Gardner, Aceves - NY Daily <b>News</b>
A couple of notes from the Yankees today: Alfredo Aceves had surgery on Tuesday, Nov. 30, at NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital to repair a fractured left clavicle sustained in a bicycle-riding accident in Mexico. Surgery was performed by ...
CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
In a dramatic facelift, CBS News is replacing the entire weekday anchor team of "The Early Show" with their weekend counterparts.
eric seiger do
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The new Us Weekly reports on their sudden five-week romance - and how Swift is already "love-struck"
Surgery for Gardner, Aceves - NY Daily <b>News</b>
A couple of notes from the Yankees today: Alfredo Aceves had surgery on Tuesday, Nov. 30, at NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital to repair a fractured left clavicle sustained in a bicycle-riding accident in Mexico. Surgery was performed by ...
CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
In a dramatic facelift, CBS News is replacing the entire weekday anchor team of "The Early Show" with their weekend counterparts.
eric seiger do
<b>News</b> - FIRST PHOTOS: Jake and Taylor's Romantic Thanksgiving Day <b>...</b>
The new Us Weekly reports on their sudden five-week romance - and how Swift is already "love-struck"
Surgery for Gardner, Aceves - NY Daily <b>News</b>
A couple of notes from the Yankees today: Alfredo Aceves had surgery on Tuesday, Nov. 30, at NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital to repair a fractured left clavicle sustained in a bicycle-riding accident in Mexico. Surgery was performed by ...
CBS <b>News</b> Is Replacing Its 'Early Show' Anchor Lineup - NYTimes.com
In a dramatic facelift, CBS News is replacing the entire weekday anchor team of "The Early Show" with their weekend counterparts.
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